Prediction market disagrees on Kamala Harris’s 44% presidential race poll leadership
In a sudden shift, the United States presidential race has seen Kamala Harris surging as the Democratic party’s likely candidate. A Reuters/Ipsos poll found a 44% intention to vote on Harris, while the prediction market disagrees by ten percentage points, pricing a 34% chance of victory. Finbold retrieved data from Polymarket , the leading prediction market, considering a currently worth $370.67 million bet. This is one of the largest bets on the platform, and the large volume increases its accuracy. As of this writing, the market predicts a 34% chance of victory for Harris, while Donald Trump leads with 63%. Notably, there are $29.03 million speculating on Kamala Harris’s 34% chance, up 31% in the last 24 hours. Meanwhile, Trump’s 63% priced victory has a nearly $48 million volume of bets. Picks for you Cardano breakout a...